Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 107.061674 123.382265 142.697460 167.623790 199.522055 2.398289e+02 296.088078
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 84.266699 103.596585 128.917415 165.788829 220.542254 3.035273e+02 450.154987
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 71.452005 91.246769 118.820897 162.218253 233.656313 3.579835e+02 627.443348
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 63.551365 83.545121 112.761304 161.736758 249.805347 4.240058e+02 891.452524
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 57.935976 77.993158 108.492851 162.476864 267.629748 5.031792e+02 1303.793202
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 52.196241 71.392528 101.382344 156.514273 270.309604 5.509072e+02 1724.354010
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 49.787677 69.525061 101.479564 163.319316 301.825877 6.966068e+02 3083.633085
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 45.824998 64.728346 95.947759 158.164831 304.434575 7.614665e+02 4424.987916
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 43.399938 62.151799 93.876861 159.435967 323.377284 9.035049e+02 8362.012856
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 40.757667 58.954638 90.290192 156.822327 331.302429 1.015184e+03 15684.292220
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 40.347591 59.448788 93.443908 169.450136 388.518598 1.460991e+03 208483.162965
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 40.725553 61.315576 99.422880 190.201077 486.168489 2.521735e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 38.380247 58.387288 96.127021 188.925326 511.796696 3.250129e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 36.138219 55.492370 92.635959 186.680011 534.876930 4.239449e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 33.993359 52.579700 88.735219 182.433001 547.525317 5.342157e+03 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 32.376383 50.508436 86.348714 181.860795 578.348925 7.613341e+03 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 31.031114 48.832906 84.601927 182.740381 619.016211 1.210026e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 29.252396 46.197532 80.474869 175.663662 611.374129 1.458841e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 28.650776 45.782480 81.221784 183.742010 703.702391 4.305783e+04 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 27.199002 43.601372 77.739772 177.620434 699.354880 6.294791e+04 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 26.325671 42.504060 76.642469 179.128543 752.721421 2.703114e+05 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 25.254672 40.943828 74.315533 176.028737 769.645619 1.692375e+06 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 25.227718 41.474558 76.983955 191.044212 967.037983 NaN NaN